Next Romanian parliamentary election
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All 136 seats in the Senate All 331 seats in the Chamber of Deputies 69 S and 166 D seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 European Union portal |
The next Romanian parliamentary election will take place on a Sunday before 30 November 2028.[2] The election may take place earlier if a snap election is called or if the government loses a no confidence motion.[3][4]
Background
[edit]After the 2024 Romanian parliamentary election, a pro-European coalition was formed between the centre-left Social Democratic Party, the centre-right National Liberal Party, the Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania and ethnic minority parties.[5] The liberal reformist Save Romania Union party also initially signed an agreement to enter government, but subsequently went into opposition.[6][7] Following the results of the first round of the presidential election in May 2025 in which government-endorsed Crin Antonescu failed to advance to the run-offs, Ciolacu announced that Social Democratic Party would leave the coalition and resigned from the position of prime minister; Ciolacu stated that after seeing how Romanians had voted, "the governing coalition has no legitimacy, at least in this component"; at the same time, PSD ministers remained in the government on the interim basis.[8] On 6 May 2025, interim President Ilie Bolojan appointed Cătălin Predoiu to serve as interim Prime Minister.[9]
Electoral system
[edit]Both the 331 members of the Chamber of Deputies as well as the 136 members of the Senate are elected in 43 multi-member constituencies based on Romania's 41 counties, the Municipality of Bucharest, as well as the Romanian diaspora using party-list proportional representation. Law no. 208/2015 outlines that each constituency is to be awarded one deputy every 73,000 people and one senator every 168,000 people in accordance with the population data collected on 1 January of the previous year by the National Institute of Statistics (INS). Constituencies cannot have less than 4 deputies and 2 senators.[10]
Parties must pass a threshold of 5% of the national vote or at least 20% of the vote in four constituencies. Electoral alliances must pass a higher threshold, namely 8% for those with two member-parties, 9% for three and 10% for alliances of more. Further seats (currently 19) can be added in the Chamber of Deputies for ethnic minority groups that compete in the elections and pass a lower threshold (5% of the votes needed to win a seat in the lower chamber, calculated by dividing the number of votes of parties, alliances and independent candidates that passed the threshold by the amount of seats that they won).[11]
Following the elections, seats are allocated to the candidates of successful parties and lists in several stages, starting with constituencies, where seats are distributed according to the Hare quota of the constituency. Unused votes are then transferred and congregated at the national level, where remaining seats are distributed using the D'Hondt method, to ensure overall proportionality between a party's national vote share and its share of parliamentary seats. These remaining seats are then allocated to party candidates within the constituencies, based on the party results in each constituencies.[12][13]
Opinion polls
[edit]2025
[edit]| Date | Poll source | Sample size | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSD | AUR | PNL | USR | SOS | POT | UDMR | PMP | FD | REPER | SENS | DREPT | Others | Lead | |||
| 26 - 30 May 2025 | INSCOP | 1,150 | 17.4 | 38.1 | 16.0 | 12.2 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 3.3 | — | 2.8 | 20.7 |
| 26 - 30 May 2025 | CURS | 1,287 | 24 | 35 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 11 |
| 26 - 28 May 2025 | Sociopol | 1,001 | 17 | 36 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 6 | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | 19 |
| 23 - 28 May 2025 | Avangarde | 1,300 | 20 | 32 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 24 - 26 Apr 2025 | FlashData | 7,500 | 19 | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 7 |
| 3 - 5 Apr 2025 | FlashData | 7,500 | 18.5 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 17.0 | 8.5 |
| 24 - 28 Mar 2025 | Verifield | 1,100 | 21.2 | 31.7 | 15.0 | 12.9 | 3.6 | 7.0 | 5.1 | — | — | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 10.5 |
| 14 - 16 Feb 2025 | FlashData | 7,500 | 21.2 | 27.9 | 12.3 | 19.0 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | — | — | 1.1 | 6.7 |
| 21 - 25 Jan 2025 | CURS | 1,100 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2 |
| 10 - 16 Jan 2025 | Avangarde | 1,354 | 22 | 29 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 7 |
| 1 December 2024 | 2024 Chamber election | — | 21.96 | 18.01 | 13.20 | 12.40 | 7.36 | 6.46 | 6.33 | 2.05 | 1.24 | 2.99 | 1.16 | 6.84 | 3.95 | |
| 2024 Senate election | — | 22.30 | 18.30 | 14.28 | 12.26 | 7.76 | 6.39 | 6.38 | 1.88 | 1.37 | 2.84 | 1.24 | 5 | 4 | ||
Politician approval ratings
[edit]| Date | Poll source | Sample size | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ind. |
Bolojan PNL |
Georgescu Ind. |
Grindeanu PSD |
Simion AUR |
Predoiu PNL |
Fritz USR |
Șoșoacă SOS |
Kelemen UDMR |
Gavrilă POT |
Ponta Ind. | |||
| 26 - 30 May 2025 | INSCOP | 1,150 | 47.0 | 42.2 | — | 12.9 | 33.9 | — | 16.4 | — | 26.7 | — | 20.0 |
| 26 - 30 May 2025 | CURS | 1,287 | 57 | 42 | — | 36 | 42 | — | 27 | 22 | 25 | 9 | — |
| 23 - 28 May 2025 | Avangarde | 1,300 | 44 | 40 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 7 | — | — | — |
National approval rating
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Is Romania going on a good path/direction? | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Approval | Disapproval | |||||
| CURS | 26–30 May 2025 | 1,287 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 7.0 | −25.0 |
| Avangarde | 23–28 May 2025 | 1,300 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 9.0 | −15.0 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c (acting)
- ^ stood for S – Bucharest in previous election, refused to take the seat.
- ^ Pambuccian, a member of the Union of Armenians of Romania, has been the parliamentary leader of the national minorities' group since 1996.
- ^ National minorities have nationwide mandates and do not represent a specific county.[1]
References
[edit]- ^ Legea privind alegerea Senatului şi a Camerei Deputaţilor, precum şi pentru organizarea şi funcţionarea Autorităţii Electorale Permanente, cu modificările şi completările ulterioare [The Law on the election of the Senate and the Chamber of Deputies, as well as on the organization and operation of the Permanent Electoral Authority, with subsequent amendments and additions – Updated text] (PDF) (208, 94.12) (in Romanian). 20 July 2015.
- ^ "Romania". IPU Parline: Global data on national parliaments. 1 December 2024. Retrieved 27 February 2025.
- ^ Oprita, Antonia; Marinas, Radu (8 July 2005). "Romania calls snap election". The Irish Times. Retrieved 27 February 2025.
- ^ "Romanian far right parties file no-confidence motion against pro-European government". Reuters. 25 February 2025. Retrieved 27 February 2025.
- ^ Mcgrath, Stephen; Ghirda, Vadim (23 December 2024). "Romanian lawmakers narrowly approve new pro-European coalition during period of political turmoil". AP News. Retrieved 27 February 2025.
- ^ "Romania's pro-Western parties agree to form a majority government after political turmoil". Associated Press. 11 December 2024. Retrieved 11 December 2024.
- ^ Service, s Romanian (14 February 2025). "Romanian Opposition Welcomes Vance Comments On Election Annulment". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 27 February 2025.
- ^ "Marcel Ciolacu: PSD a votat în unanimitate ieşirea de la guvernare, prin urmare demisia mea, şi că nu va susţine niciun candidat în turul 2". Observator News (in Romanian). Retrieved 5 May 2025.
- ^ "Romanian PM resigns and pulls out of coalition after nationalist vote win". BBC. 6 May 2025. Retrieved 7 May 2025.
- ^ "Legea nr. 208/2015 privind alegerea Senatului şi a Camerei Deputaţilor, precum şi pentru organizarea şi funcţionarea Autorităţii Electorale Permanente" [Law no. 208/2015 regarding the election of the Senate and the Chamber of Deputies, as well as the organization and operation of the Permanent Electoral Authority]. Lege5 (in Romanian).
- ^ "Articolul 56 – Legea nr. 208/2015" [Article 56 – Law no. 56/2015]. Lege5 (in Romanian).
- ^ "Romania:Electoral Code (2015) —". aceproject.org. Retrieved 17 March 2025.
- ^ Official Gazette of Romania, Part I, No. 553 of 24 July 2015. Official Gazette of Romania. 24 July 2015.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: date and year (link)
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