Economy of Kyrgyzstan
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Currency | Kyrgyz som (KGS) |
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Trade organisations | WTO, EAEU, OTS, CIS, ECO, SCO, CISFTA |
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Main industries | mining, hydropower, textiles, food processing, construction |
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Exports | ![]() |
Export goods | gold, coal, copper ore, textiles, dried legumes, vehicles and auto parts, smartphones, household electrical appliances, refined petroleum, footwear |
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Import goods | refined petroleum, textiles, foodstuffs, vehicles and auto parts, smartphones, household electrical appliances, iron and steel products |
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All values, unless otherwise stated, are in US dollars. |

The economy of Kyrgyzstan is primarily driven by trade, light manufacturing, mining, and agriculture. As a landlocked, lower-middle-income country in Central Asia, it possesses abundant natural resources and considerable potential in key sectors such as hydroelectric power, logistics, and tourism. Mining — particularly gold extraction — plays a central role in the Kyrgyz economy. The state-owned Kumtor mine is among the largest gold deposits in the region. Beyond gold, Kyrgyzstan is rich in critical raw materials[20] essential for modern technologies, including substantial reserves of antimony, a key mineral for the electronics and defense industries.

The services sector, especially trade and transportation, has expanded steadily, bolstered by deepening economic ties with China. Following the 2022 sanctions on Russia, several regional supply routes were redirected through Kyrgyzstan, providing a major boost to its economy.[21] The country sustained strong annual GDP growth of 9% in each of the years 2022, 2023, and 2024. These developments underscore Kyrgyzstan’s growing strategic importance in Central Asia and its emerging role in regional trade and infrastructure networks. The government has launched several major infrastructure projects, notably the Kambarata-1 Hydropower Plant and the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway — a key component of the Belt and Road Initiative — both of which to transform the country’s economic landscape.[22]

Kyrgyzstan’s long-term growth is supported by favorable demographics: the population has grown by 2% annually over the past decade, reaching 7.3 million in 2025.[23] However, limited domestic employment opportunities continue to drive labor migration, primarily to Russia. On the bright side, the economy’s reliance on remittances — currently about 14.6% of GDP[24] — has declined sharply from a peak of 33%,[25] suggesting increasing internal economic resilience.
Macroeconomic trend
[edit]Kyrgyzstan demonstrated strong macroeconomic performance between 2022 and 2024. The country maintained a fiscal surplus for two consecutive years, in 2023 and 2024, reflecting prudent public financial management and stronger-than-expected revenue collection. Higher budget revenues were driven by taxes and customs duties, which increased due to rising imports, higher gold prices, and improved tax administration. Government expenditures rose to 34% of GDP in 2024 (up from 33% in 2023), fueled by increased spending on healthcare, salaries, and pensions.[26]
In the first quarter of 2025, Kyrgyzstan reported a significant fiscal surplus of $528 million, driven by a 84% year-over-year increase in budget revenues. The surplus is expected to contribute to reducing public debt and financing infrastructure projects.[27]
In recent years, Kyrgyz economy has been affected by inflationary pressures stemming from global supply chain disruptions triggered by the Russia-Ukraine war. Nevertheless, inflation remained relatively contained, supported by a stable som and prudent monetary policy from the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic. It declined from 10.8% in 2023 to 5% in 2024, before edging up to 6.9% by February 2025. The National Bank has maintained the policy rate at 9% since May 2024.[28]
Banking sector capital adequacy and liquidity ratios remained strong at 22.3% and 78.8%, well above requirements.[26]
The currency strengthened by 2.3% against the US dollar in 2024, while the real effective exchange rate appreciated by 3.6%. Purchases of domestically mined gold and the conversion of nonmonetary gold on the National Bank's balance sheet to reserves increased gross reserves by a substantial 57.2% to $5.1 billion at the end of 2024, cover for 4.2 months of projected imports, up from 2.4 months in 2023.[29]
Public debt
[edit]Kyrgyzstan’s total public debt stood at $6.6 billion as of 31 December 2024, representing 37.6% of GDP for the year, down from 42% in 2023. Total external public debt amounted to $4.5 billion, or 25% of GDP[30], funded primarily by official bilateral and multilateral creditors at concessional rates and with long maturities. This significantly limits the potential for nonresident capital flight in an adverse scenario, thereby mitigating external vulnerabilities.
Kyrgyzstan's largest external creditors are Export–Import Bank of China ($1.65 billion or 36% of gross external debt), Asian Development Bank (16%), World Bank (16%), the IMF (8%), the Eurasian Development Bank (6%). The average weighted interest rate on external public debt was 1.57% per annum.[31]
Foreign trade
[edit]Kyrgyzstan’s trade landscape has evolved significantly in recent years, marked by substantial growth in exports and a notable shift in trade partnerships. In 2024, Kyrgyzstan’s total exports reached $3.8 billion, representing a 13% increase compared to 2023.[32] The nation’s principal exports include gold, coal, copper ores, clothing, electronics, and footwear. Gold remains Kyrgyzstan’s dominant export commodity, with the state-owned Kumtor Gold Mine serving as a key source of foreign exchange and budget revenue.
Kyrgyzstan’s key imports include refined petroleum, industrial machinery and equipment, vehicles and automotive parts, electronics, chemical products, textiles, and a broad range of foodstuffs. In 2024, total imports reached $12.5 billion, with a significant portion of these goods being re-exported.
Kyrgyzstan’s current account deficit in 2024 stood at 6% of GDP, a figure adjusted to account for actual re-exports within the EAEU that are not recorded in official export data.

A significant development in Kyrgyzstan’s export profile is the surge in fuel exports to Afghanistan. In 2024, Kyrgyzstan exported over 40 million liters of refined petroleum to Afghanistan, a dramatic increase from the 384,000 liters exported in 2022. Beyond fuel, Kyrgyzstan’s exports to Afghanistan include a range of goods, such as agricultural products (like dried legumes and flour), construction materials (like cement and metal structures). In 2024, total exports to Afghanistan amounted to $50 million, underscoring the growing economic ties between the two nations.
Transit trade
[edit]Kyrgyzstan historically occupied an important position on the Great Silk Road, the ancient trade route connecting China and the Mediterranean. Goods and caravans passed through the region, blending diverse cultures and traditions. In modern times, Kyrgyzstan became the first country in Central Asia to join the World Trade Organization (WTO), gaining membership in 1998. Since 2015 it has also been a member of Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). This dual membership enables Kyrgyzstan to function as a strategic transit hub in Eurasian trade.[33] The country operates as a re-export platform[34], particularly for goods from China, Türkiye, South Korea and the UAE, which are imported at low WTO tariffs and re-exported to other EAEU countries — primarily Russia and Kazakhstan — without additional duties or customs controls.
This arrangement creates a form of tariff arbitrage, as Kyrgyzstan’s lower external tariff regime enables goods to enter the EAEU more cheaply than through other member states. The significance of this role has increased since 2022, as Western sanctions on Russia prompted a surge in parallel imports through Kyrgyz territory. This has generated robust economic growth and strong fiscal outcomes. Given that Kyrgyzstan, like Russia, is part of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) customs free zone, trade statistics do not fully capture its exports to other EAEU countries because there is no requirement for conventional customs declarations for goods crossing the border. This complicates the task of directly estimating re-exports through Kyrgyzstan.
From 2021-2024, the Kyrgyzstan's goods imports more than doubled, to $12.5 billion from $5.2 billion, almost entirely owing to imports of passenger cars, smartphones, household electrical appliances and other merchandise. By country, China accounts for almost 60% of this upswing, while European countries account for 8%. Most of these additional imports have limited links with the Kyrgyz economy and are in all likelihood re-exported to Russia, alongside other EAEU countries. The re-export model supports a range of domestic sectors, including logistics, warehousing, transportation, customs brokerage, and wholesale trade.
In August 2024, the Kyrgyz government established the Trading Company of the Kyrgyz Republic to monitor trade flows involving Kyrgyz companies whose goods do not physically enter the country. This strategic move is part of Kyrgyzstan’s broader efforts to regulate trade flows and financial transactions, especially in the context of increased scrutiny over re-export activities and compliance with international sanctions.
Industries
[edit]Agriculture
[edit]
Agriculture remains a significant part of the economy, employing a large portion of the workforce and having represented 12.4%, 11.0% and 8.6% of GDP in 2022, 2023 and 2024, respectively. Key agricultural products include wool, milk, cotton, tobacco, and fruits.
Subsistence farming increased in the early 2000s. After sharp declines in the early 1990s, agricultural production by the early 2000s was approaching 1991 levels. Grain production in the lower valleys and livestock grazing on upland pastures constitute the largest share of the agricultural workforce. Farmers are shifting toward grain cultivation and away from cotton and tobacco. Other important products include dairy, poultry, hay, animal feed, potatoes, vegetables, and sugar beets.
Kyrgyzstan is now largely food self-sufficient, especially in dairy (110%), vegetables (96%), potatoes (94%), and meat (80%). Grain production (especially wheat and maize) is increasing to reduce import dependency, though ~12% of wheat is still imported.
Kyrgyzstan's major agricultural crop production in 2024:[35]
- Wheat: 750,000 tons
- Barley: 650,000 tons
- Maize (corn): 770,000 tons
- Rice: 50,000 tons
- Potato: 1,200,000 tons
- Sugar beet: 870,000 tons
- Fruits and berries: 426,000 tons
- Vegetables: 1,500,000 tons
Forestry
[edit]Only 4% of Kyrgyzstan is classified as forested. All of that area is state-owned, and none is classified as available for wood supply. The main commercial product of the forests is walnuts.[36]
The Arslanbob walnut forest is the largest natural walnut forest in the world, located in the Jalal-Abad Region of Kyrgyzstan, on the western slopes of the Fergana and Chatkal mountain ranges. Covering approximately 11,000 hectares of dense walnut groves, the broader forest zone, which includes other tree species, extends over 600,000 to 700,000 hectares. Each mature tree can yield 150 to 400 kilograms of walnuts annually. Kyrgyzstan is a major regional exporter of walnuts, with significant shipments to Russia, Iran, and Turkey. In some years, up to 25% of Russia’s walnut imports come from Kyrgyzstan.
Fishery
[edit]Kyrgyzstan’s aquaculture industry has rebounded strongly since its collapse in 2003, growing from just 12 metric tons to over 20,000 tons by 2022. Total fish production reached 33,600 tons in 2023, with exports exceeding 5,500 tons, signaling expanding regional market opportunities. This growth is driven by investments in technology, sustainable farming of cold-water species, and the country’s rich freshwater resources. Kyrgyzstan is increasingly positioned as a key freshwater fish exporter in Central Asia, enhancing both its economy and food security.
Mining and minerals
[edit]Mining continues to be a vital and growing sector in Kyrgyzstan’s economy. The Kumtor Gold Mine, one of the largest gold deposits globally, has been a major contributor since 1997. Promising new gold projects at Jerooy, Taldy–Bulak, and recent discoveries like Tokhtonysay highlight the country’s strong potential for expanding gold production.
Kyrgyzaltyn, the state-owned mining agency, manages all mines, often partnering with foreign investors to bring expertise and capital, supporting modernization and growth.
Although uranium and antimony production have declined since Soviet times, Kyrgyzstan’s extensive coal reserves—estimated at 2.5 billion tons—offer significant opportunities to boost domestic energy supply, with the Kara-Keche deposit poised to increase annual coal output substantially.
While oil and natural gas production remain limited, the country’s rich mineral base positions it well for tapping into critical raw materials essential for emerging technologies and the green energy transition. Exploration efforts targeting rare earth elements and industrial metals are gaining momentum, signaling promising prospects for future development.
Manufacturing
[edit]Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, Kyrgyzstan’s manufacturing sector experienced a sharp decline due to disrupted supply chains and the loss of traditional markets. However, since the early 2020s, the sector has shown signs of recovery and structural transformation, remaining a key contributor to the economy by accounting for approximately 12.6% of GDP in both 2023 and 2024, slightly down from 13.6% in 2022.
Metallurgy is the main component of the manufacturing sector, particularly through gold production, which is a major export commodity. Metallurgy accounted for approximately 21% of the manufacturing sector in 2024. Production of food products (beverages) and tobacco, which is focused on processing agricultural products into consumer goods, accounted for approximately 19.4% of the manufacturing sector in 2024. Textile production, production of wearing apparel and footwear, leather and other leather goods, which is focused on garment manufacturing, accounted for approximately 4.5% of the manufacturing sector in 2024. Production of rubber and plastics items and other non-metallic mineral products, which comprises producing a variety of goods for domestic and regional markets, represented approximately 10.5% of the manufacturing sector in 2024. Production of refined petroleum products accounted for approximately 8.5% of the manufacturing sector in 2024.
Renewed investment in mining, energy, and light manufacturing, supported by state programs like the 100 Industrial Enterprises initiative[37] has driven a revival in Kyrgyzstan’s manufacturing sector. Growth has been particularly strong in mining (especially gold and coal), electricity generation, small-scale hydropower, and light industries like textiles and food processing. Automotive assembly[38] and domestic production of construction materials[39] are also emerging as growth areas.
Construction
[edit]The construction sector in Kyrgyzstan has been a significant contributor to the nation’s economy in recent years, demonstrating consistent growth and playing a pivotal role in overall economic development. The construction sector’s growth has been driven by both public and private investments in infrastructure projects, residential housing, and commercial developments. Government initiatives aimed at improving transportation networks, energy infrastructure, and urban development have significantly strengthened the sector. The construction sector provides jobs to a substantial portion of the workforce. Its expansion has had a multiplier effect on related industries, including manufacturing, services, and real estate, thereby contributing to broader economic growth.
Construction accounted for 9.3%, 7.3%, 7.1%, 7.3% and 8.3% of Kyrgyzstan’s GDP in 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024, respectively. In 2024, the sector grew by 39.7% in real terms compared to 2023, driven by an increase in construction and reconstruction of facilities in mining, provision (supply) of electricity, gas, steam, water supply and treatment, waste treatment, hotels and restaurants.
Housing construction has also seen significant expansion, driven by population growth, urbanization, and remittance-fueled demand. Rising domestic production of construction materials and increased private investment have contributed to this boom[40], turning housing construction into one of the key engines of non-extractive economic activity.
Energy
[edit]Over 90% of Kyrgyzstan's electricity generation relies on hydropower, primarily from large cascade plants on the Naryn River. However, the country has historically exploited less than 15% of its estimated hydroelectric potential of approximately 140 TWh annually.[41] As of 2024, hydropower accounted for around 90% of all electricity production, with small hydroelectric plants contributing approximately 400 GWh alongside 12.8 billion kWh from large hydro facilities.[42]
Kyrgyzstan has limited domestic fossil fuel reserves and heavily depends on natural gas imports from Uzbekistan.[43] Thermal (coal- and gas-fired) plants supplied 1.8 billion kWh in 2024, while hydropower produced 12.77 billion kWh; the country imported 3.6 billion kWh to meet rising demand of 18.3 billion kWh.[44]
Energy losses remain high: in peak seasons, up to 45% of electricity may be lost or diverted illegally.[45] Per capita consumption remains elevated relative to income levels, and while demand is high, a comprehensive national strategy for demand reduction is not yet in place.[46]
The country's infrastructure is aging: the national grid includes over 45,000 km of transmission lines, largely built during Soviet-era expansion, along with approximately 3 GW of installed generation capacity, 80% of which is hydropower.[47]
Kyrgyzstan is actively expanding both large and small hydropower projects. The proposed Kambar-Ata-1 project — a 1,860 MW dam on the Naryn River— has received roadmap support from Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan and secured at least US $18.6 million in World Bank development funding by mid-2024.[48] When operational (expected by 2028), it is projected to generate 5.6 billion kWh annually, enabling year-round domestic supply, seasonal export capacity, and support for the CASA-1000 transmission corridor.[49]
Small hydropower capacity is also scaling up: private plants are expected to reach 400–500 MW by 2027–2028, adding roughly 600 million kWh annually.[50] The country is also beginning to diversify its energy mix with solar and wind: a 200 MW solar plant near Tokmok is expected by 2025, and additional solar (400 MW) and wind (100 MW) projects are in development as of 2024.[51]
Hydropower remains the backbone of Kyrgyzstan's energy sector, with ongoing diversification and modernization efforts aimed at reducing energy losses, enhancing self-sufficiency, and boosting exports to neighboring countries.
Services
[edit]
Kyrgyzstan’s tourism sector, centred on the scenic Issyk-Kul Lake and mountain trekking, has seen impressive growth over the past two decades. From attracting around 450,000 tourists annually in the early 2000s, the country welcomed over 8.6 million visitors in 2024. This rapid growth has boosted tourism service exports to nearly $480 million in the first half of 2024 alone. Visitors primarily come from neighboring Central Asian countries like Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Russia, but there is a growing number of tourists from China, South Korea, Türkiye, and Europe. Despite earlier challenges related to limited investment, the sector is benefiting from improved infrastructure, easier visa regulations, and targeted government promotion.
The financial sector in Kyrgyzstan plays a critical role in supporting economic diversification. Banks and microfinance institutions provide much-needed credit and financial services to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and rural entrepreneurs. Microfinance, in particular, has expanded rapidly, increasing financial inclusion and empowering grassroots economic activity.
Poverty
[edit]In 2024, the poverty rate at the $3.65-per-day threshold fell to 4.4%, down from 7.1% in 2023, supported by lower inflation and robust economic growth. However, rising urban poverty is a concern: by 2022/23, urban poverty levels had surpassed those in rural areas. According to the L2KGZ survey, 50% of respondents identified jobs as the top economic challenge, while real household incomes stagnated in the latter half of 2024.
United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) reports that approximately 30% of Kyrgyzstan’s population lives in poverty, with an additional 10% at risk of falling below the poverty line. The WFP highlights vulnerability to both internal and external shocks, including high dependence on food imports, reduced remittances due to changing labor migration policies; particularly in Russia; and climate-related challenges such as drought and glacier melt. Food prices remain around 50% higher than pre-pandemic levels, leaving 36% of the population unable to afford a nutritious diet, while 72% of households resort to coping mechanisms to cover basic needs.[52]
See also
[edit]References
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- ^ a b c d e f "World Economic Outlook (April 2025)". IMF.org. International Monetary Fund.
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