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2025 Polish presidential election

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2025 Polish presidential election

← 2020 18 May 2025 (first round)
1 June 2025 (second round)
2030 →
Opinion polls
Turnout67.31% (first round) Increase2.80pp
71.63% (second round) Increase3.45pp[1]
 
DHS Secretary Kristi Noem Travels to Poland - 54553881558 (cropped).jpg
EPP Congress Bucharest - Day 1 IMG 8903 (53571547784) (cropped).jpg
Candidate Karol Nawrocki Rafał Trzaskowski
Party Independent[a] PO
Popular vote 10,606,877 10,237,286
Percentage 50.89% 49.11%


President before election

Andrzej Duda
Independent[b]

Elected President

Karol Nawrocki
Independent[a]

Presidential elections were held in Poland on 18 May 2025. As no candidate received a majority of the vote, a second round was held on 1 June 2025. The incumbent president Andrzej Duda, being term-limited, was ineligible for re-election to a third term. The election saw the largest number of candidates since 1995, with 13 candidates running for president. The second round was won by conservative candidate Karol Nawrocki who is backed by Law and Justice.

The incumbent government supported candidate Rafał Trzaskowski, the Mayor of Warsaw and runner-up of the 2020 election, who came first in the first round of voting, followed by Nawrocki.[2] The right-wing candidates, Nawrocki, Sławomir Mentzen (New Hope) and Grzegorz Braun of the Confederation of the Polish Crown overperformed polls, winning 29.5%, 14.8% and 6.3% respectively, coming in second, third and fourth.[3][4] Centrist candidate Szymon Hołownia (PL2050) received 4.99% of the vote while the left-wing candidates together secured 10.18%, with coalition candidate Magdalena Biejat (The Left) coming below opposition Adrian Zandberg (Razem).[5][6]

Nawrocki ran on a Christian nationalist and culturally conservative platform and against Donald Tusk's ruling coalition, demonstratively throwing a copy of Gender Queer: A Memoir into a paper shredder during the campaign.[7] Nawrocki's platform called for significant government intervention in the economy, maintaining close ties between the Catholic Church in Poland and the Polish government, the broad criminalization of abortion, and opposition to the legalization of same-sex marriage or civil unions, citing the sexual ethics of the Catholic Church and protection of the family.[8] Trzaskowski ran on economic liberalization, European integration, the broad legalization of abortion,[9][10][better source needed] the introduction of same sex civil unions,[11] and a greater role for local governments in voivodeships. They differed on further strengthening relations with the European Union and Ukraine's membership in NATO, with Trzaskowski supporting both. Nawrocki opposed Ukraine's accession to NATO and strengthening of relations with the EU.[12][13] Both, however, ran on pro-Western platforms.[14]

The election result continued the trend of tighter electoral margins over the last 25 years becoming the closest in Polish history since the fall of the Polish People's Republic. Prior to the election, observers characterised a Nawrocki victory as hurting Donald Tusk's government, due to bills requiring 60% support in the Sejm in cases of a presidential veto.[15][16][17][18][19][dubiousdiscuss] The results continued Law and Justice and its aligned presidential candidates only losing one presidential election since its founding in 2001. The first-round results also showed a significant political strengthening of the nationalist Confederation Liberty and Independence. Exit polling indicated that younger voters were more likely to favor Nawrocki in the second round and other right-wing parties in the first; the far-right Confederation Liberty and Independence alliance had by far the best performance in its history and performed best among the youngest generation of Polish voters.[20]

In the days following the election, concerns have been raised concerning voting irregularities.[21][22]

Electoral system

[edit]
A district electoral commission in Szczecin

Presidential elections in Poland must be held on a day off work (Sunday or public holiday), between 75 and 100 days before the end of the term of the sitting president. However, they may be held earlier if the office becomes vacant due to the death, resignation, or removal of the incumbent.[23] The Marshal of the Sejm is responsible for setting the date of presidential elections and in this case had three possible dates to choose from: 4 May, 11 May, or 18 May 2025.[24]

The President of Poland is elected for a five-year term using the two-round system; if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the first round, a run-off is held between the top two candidates. Presidents serve a five-year term and can be re-elected once. The second term of Andrzej Duda expires on 6 August 2025, and the president-elect will take the oath of office on that day before the National Assembly (a joint session of the Sejm and the Senate). Exit polls found the results too close to call, official results are expected on Monday.[25][26][27]

In order to be registered to contest the election, a candidate must be a Polish citizen, be at least 35 years old on the day of the first round of the election, and have collected at least 100,000 voters' signatures by 4 April 2025 at 16:00 (CEST).[28] In 2025, 13 candidates registered, the highest amount of candidates tied with 1995.

All citizens are eligible to vote following their 18th birthday, except for those that have been disenfranchised, stripped of public rights, or are detained. Voters cast votes in their regional district electoral commissions (plural Polish: okręgowe komisje wyborcze), but can also vote abroad, outside of their assigned district electoral commission, or by correspondence if they have notified the electoral commission beforehand.[28][29] Voting takes place for 14 hours, between 7:00 and 21:00 (CEST).[30]

The elections are managed by the National Electoral Commission (Polish: Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza), which, for this election, was composed of the chairman (Sylwester Marciniak [pl]), deputy chairman (Wojciech Sych [pl]) and seven members recommended by groups in the Sejm – two by Civic Coalition, two by Law and Justice, and one respectively by Poland 2050, the Polish People's Party, and The Left.[31][32]

The National Electoral Commission, in press conferences throughout election day, reports turnout for 12:00, 17:00 (CEST) and the final turnout.[33] For the day preceding, and day of, the election, until polls close at 21:00, election silence is in place. In the second round of the presidential election, there were 87 incidents of electoral silence being broken.[34]

Background

[edit]

Duda's second inauguration

[edit]
Andrzej Duda being sworn in for his second term on 6 August 2020

Incumbent President Andrzej Duda (PiS) narrowly defeated Rafał Trzaskowski (PO) in the 2020 presidential election and was sworn in for his second term on 6 August 2020.[35] Duda would govern along with Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki and his cabinet until the 2023 parliamentary election. The parliamentary election saw record-high turnout, with 74.4% of eligible Poles casting their vote, an increase of 12.6 percentage points since 2019.

Third Cabinet of Donald Tusk

Tusk's cabinet

[edit]

Following the parliamentary election and installment of the short-lived renomination of Mateusz Morawiecki, Donald Tusk's cabinet, comprising Civic Coalition, Poland 2050, the Polish People's Party, and the New Left, began governing the country. Tusk's coalition did not have enough votes to bypass the presidential veto, for which it would need 276 votes.[36]

Leaders of coalition parties signing the coalition agreement, left to right: Szymon Hołownia (PL2050-TD), Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz (PSL-TD), Donald Tusk (KO), Włodzimierz Czarzasty (NL) and Robert Biedroń (NL).
In the presidential election, the TD alliance fielded Szymon Hołownia, KO fielded Rafał Trzaskowski, and NL fielded Magdalena Biejat.

Tusk cabinet economic policy

[edit]

Since the coalition's rise to power, Tusk's cabinet took steps to deregulate the economy, cut welfare spending and balance the budget. In February 2025, Tusk invited billionaire Rafał Brzoska and Google CEO Sundar Pichai[37] to deregulate the Polish economy and cut labor regulations. Tusk's proposal of Brzoska has led to media labelling him as the "Polish Elon Musk".[38][39][40] Tusk has been accused of granting Google a monopoly over the Artificial Intelligence sector in Poland via his investment agreements with Pichai.[41]

Tusk cabinet social policy

[edit]

The ruling coalition was composed of mostly centrist or slightly right leaning parties. However, the New Left also being part of the cabinet, postulated decriminalization of abortion. The Sejm rejected the proposal in July 2024. Facing opposition within the ruling coalition of a large group of dissidents from the Polish People's Party, the vote failed with 218 votes against and 215 for decriminalization.[42]

Tusk cabinet healthcare policy

[edit]

On 4 April, the Sejm narrowly voted (213–190, with KO, PL2050 and PSL voting for – PiS, NL and Razem against – and Konfederacja mainly abstaining) to decrease the health insurance contribution[43] (Polish: składka zdrowotna) for entrepreneurs,[44][45] which sparked protests from the left, especially members of Razem, accusing the government of attempting to undermine and then privatize public healthcare.[46] Ultimately, Andrzej Duda vetoed the health contribution decrease on 6 May.[43]

Candidate selection

[edit]

Registered candidates

[edit]
Name Born Campaign Last position/job Party Endorsed by
Artur Bartoszewicz 2025 HQ (cropped).jpg
Artur Bartoszewicz
18 January 1974 (51)
Suwałki, Podlaskie
Lecturer at the Collegium of Socio-Economics of the Warsaw School of Economics Independent[47] Social Interest [Wikidata][48]
Biejat 2025.jpg
Magdalena Biejat
11 January 1982 (43)
Warsaw, Mazovia
Deputy Marshal of the Senate (2023–present)
Member of the Sejm (2019–2023)
Senator (2023–present)
Independent The Left
Grzegorz Braun MEP (2024).jpg
Grzegorz Braun
11 March 1967 (58)
Toruń, Kuyavia–Pomerania
Leader of the Confederation of the Polish Crown (2019–present)
Member of the Sejm (2019–2024)
MEP for Lesser Poland (2024–present)
2015 presidential election candidate
Confederation of the Polish Crown Toruń branch of the Congress of the New Right[52]
Kuyavian-Pomeranian branch of KORWiN [Wikidata][52][c]
National Revival of Poland[53]
PolExit[54]
Real Europe Movement[55]
Szymon Hołownia 31 10 2024 (cropped5).jpg
Szymon Hołownia
3 September 1976 (48)
Białystok, Podlaskie
Marshal of the Sejm (2023–present)
Member of the Sejm (2023–present)
Leader of Poland 2050 (2021–present)
2020 presidential election candidate
Poland 2050 Third Way
Marek Jakubiak 2019 (cropped).jpg
Marek Jakubiak
30 April 1959 (66)
Warsaw, Mazovia
Leader of Federation for the Republic (2018–present)
Member of the Sejm (2015–2019, 2023–present)
2020 presidential election candidate
Brewer
Federation for the Republic Free Republicans
Maciej Maciak.jpg
Maciej Maciak
30 August 1970 (54)
Włocławek, Kuyavia-Pomerania
Leader of RDiP (2023–present)
Journalist, YouTuber
Independent Prosperity and Peace Movement
Sławomir Mentzen Sejm 2022.jpg
Sławomir Mentzen
20 November 1986 (38)
Toruń, Kuyavia–Pomerania
Chairman of New Hope (2022–present)
Member of the Sejm (2023–present)
Tax advisor
New Hope Confederation
01 Karol Nawrocki.jpg
Karol Nawrocki
3 March 1983 (42)
Gdańsk, Pomerania
President of the Institute of National Remembrance (2021–present)
Director of the Museum of the Second World War (2017–2021)
Chairman of the Siedlce District Council in Gdańsk (2011–2017)
Independent United Right
Self-Defence of the Republic of Poland[59]
United Beyond Boundaries[60]
Marsz ateistow 2023 - Joanna Senyszyn.jpg
Joanna Senyszyn
1 February 1949 (76)
Gdynia, Pomerania
Member of the Sejm (2001–2009, 2019–2023)
MEP for Lesser Poland (2009–2014)
Journalist
Independent Democratic Left Association[61]
Nonpartisians [Wikidata][62]
Krzysztof Stanowski i Magdalena Biejat - 23.03.25 (54405349059) 01 (Stanowski cropped).jpg
Krzysztof Stanowski
21 July 1982 (42)
Warsaw, Mazovia
Journalist, YouTuber
Kanał Zero and KTS Weszło owner
Independent
EPP Congress Bucharest - Day 1 IMG 8903 (53571547784) (cropped).jpg
Rafał Trzaskowski
17 January 1972 (53)
Warsaw, Mazovia
Mayor of Warsaw (2018–present)
Vice-chairman of the Civic Platform (2020–present)
2020 presidential election second round
Civic Platform Civic Coalition[63][64]
Social Democracy of Poland[65]
Alliance of Democrats[66]
Union of European Democrats[67]
Yes! For Poland[68]
Marek Woch.jpg
Marek Woch
17 December 1978 (46)
Kąkolewnica, Lublin
Leader of the Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy (2024–present) Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy[69][d] Social Alternative [Wikidata]
Labour Party[71]
Slavic Union[71]
Adrian Zandberg Sejm 2020.jpg
Adrian Zandberg
4 December 1979 (45)
Aalborg, Denmark
Co-leader of Partia Razem (2022–present)
Member of the Sejm (2019–present)
Partia Razem

Withdrawn

[edit]

Candidate registration

[edit]

Groups of citizens willing to register a candidate in the election must establish an electoral committee (Polish: komitet wyborczy) of at least 15 members, and submit a notice to the National Electoral Commission supported with 1,000 citizens' signatures.[75] To register a candidate, an electoral committee must present to the PKW 99,000 more endorsement signatures.[76] On 11 April 2025, the following committees and candidates have applied for registration:[77][78][79]

Electoral committees
Candidate Status Date
1 Sławomir Mentzen (KWiN) Candidate registered 3 February
2 Rafał Trzaskowski (KO) Candidate registered 17 March
3 Grzegorz Braun (KKP) Candidate registered 10 March
4 Szymon Hołownia (TD) Candidate registered 24 March
5 Adrian Zandberg (Razem) Candidate registered 24 March
6 Wiesław Lewicki (NK) Candidacy rejected 9 April
7 Maciej Maciak (RDiP) Candidate registered 9 April
8 Magdalena Biejat (Lewica) Candidate registered 31 March
9 Marek Woch (BS) Candidate registered 31 March
10 Marek Jakubiak (K’15) Candidate registered 4 April
11 Karol Nawrocki (PiS) Candidate registered 21 March
12 Wojciech Papis [Wikidata] (B [Wikidata]) Notice accepted
13 Romuald Starosielec [Wikidata] (RNP) Candidacy rejected 11 April
14 Paweł Tanajno (PL!SP) Candidacy rejected 11 April
15 Dawid Jackiewicz (ind.) Candidacy rejected 9 April
16 Aldona Skirgiełło (SRP) Notice accepted
17 Dominika Jasińska [Wikidata] (ind.) Notice accepted
18 Joanna Senyszyn (SLD) Candidate registered 31 March
19 Krzysztof Tołwiński (FRONT) Notice accepted
20 Eugeniusz Maciejewski (PIAST-JMENiŚ) Notice accepted
21 Katarzyna Cichos (ind.) Notice accepted / withdrew[e] 8 March
22 Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) Notice accepted
23 Jan Kubań (ind.) Notice accepted
24 Włodzimierz Rynkowski (ZS) Notice accepted
25 Marcin Bugajski [Wikidata] (ind.) Notice accepted
26 Jolanta Duda (ind.) Notice accepted
27 Artur Bartoszewicz (ind.) Candidate registered 17 March
28 Kamil Całek [Wikidata] (ind.) Notice accepted
29 Krzysztof Andrzej Sitko [Wikidata] (AS [Wikidata]) Notice accepted / withdrew[f] 29 March
30 Jakub Perkowski (FdR [pl]) Notice accepted
31 Sebastian Ross (ind.) Notice accepted
32 Marta Ratuszyńska (DR) Notice accepted
33 Stanisław Żółtek (KNP) Notice accepted / withdrew[g] 20 March
34 Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) Candidate registered 11 April
35 Robert Śledź (PIN) Notice accepted
36 Adam Nawara (PL!SP) Notice accepted
37 Grzegorz Kołek (ind.) Notice accepted
38 Tomasz Ziółkowski (ind.) Notice accepted
39 Roman Jackowski (ind.) Notice accepted
40 Piotr Daniel Lechowicz (KWiN) Notice accepted
41 Robert Więcko (ind.) Notice accepted
42 Zbigniew Litke (ind.) Notice accepted
43 Grzegorz Niedźwiecki (ind.) Notice rejected
44 Maria Leśniak-Wojciechowska (RNP) Notice rejected
45 Katarzyna Łysik (ind.) Notice accepted
46 Dariusz Eligiusz Staszczak (ind.) Notice rejected
47 Artur Szostak (P3) Notice rejected
48 Andrzej Jan Kasela (ind.) Notice accepted
49 Krzysztof Kaszewiak (ind.) Notice rejected
50 Zbnigniew Józef Burzyński (WiS) Notice rejected
51 Mieczysław Eugeniusz Sendecki (ZS) Notice rejected
52 Sławomir Grzywa (SS) Notice rejected
53 Krzysztof Olaf Samberger (ind.) Notice rejected

Campaign

[edit]

First round

[edit]
Candidates at campaign events, left to right and top to bottom: Nawrocki in Nowa Dęba, Zandberg in Lubartów, Biejat in Łódź, Braun in Krynica Zdrój, Mentzen in Lubartów, Hołownia in Mielec, Trzaskowski in Kraków.
Voting ballot in the election's first round, 18 May 2025

Sławomir Mentzen of the Confederation alliance was the first candidate to begin an electoral campaign on 31 August 2024, drawing criticism and accusations of illegality from politicians of other parties for its early start.[80] Marshal of the Sejm Szymon Hołownia from the Poland 2050 party declared his candidacy on 13 November.[81] The Civic Coalition (KO) selected its candidate in a presidential primary on 22 November after Minister of Foreign Affairs Radosław Sikorski challenged presumptive nominee, Mayor of Warsaw Rafał Trzaskowski, who was KO's 2020 presidential candidate.[82] Following the KO primary, Institute of National Remembrance chairman Karol Nawrocki was endorsed by the Law and Justice party on 24 November as an officially independent candidate, as he never belonged to any political party.[83] Other groups also ran their own candidates. Parties of the left, the New Left and Razem, selected Magdalena Biejat and Adrian Zandberg respectively. On the right, the Free Republicans group endorsed Marek Jakubiak, and the Confederation of the Polish Crown ran Grzegorz Braun after splitting off from Mentzen's Confederation. Other candidates, not representing parties in parliament, also appeared: Artur Bartoszewicz (independent), Maciej Maciak (Prosperity and Peace Movement), Joanna Senyszyn (Democratic Left Association), Krzysztof Stanowski (independent) and Marek Woch (Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy). In total, the first round of the election had 13 candidates on the ballot, the largest amount of candidates tied with the 1995 presidential election.

Speculation swiftly began on whether PiS would replace Nawrocki when it was revealed that he had contact with a future criminal as part of his time as a boxer two decades prior, for which he was attacked by opposing politicians.[84] Polling showed, however, that the vast plurality of people did not expect Nawrocki to be replaced.[85] Nawrocki would continue being PiS' presidential candidate going into the first round and would face further controversies about his private life.

Nawrocki accused the ruling coalition of sexualizing children, demonstratively throwing a copy of Gender Queer: A Memoir into a paper shredder.[7] At the party conference on 2 March, Nawrocki declared the election a "referendum on rejecting Tusk",[86] which would remain a theme throughout the campaign. On 13 February 2025, Nawrocki was endorsed by Solidarity, Poland's largest trade union cooperating with PiS,[87][88] pledging not to raise the age of retirement and to defend the minimum wage.[89] Following the first round, on 20 May, Rural Solidarity also endorsed Nawrocki.[90] At Nawrocki's electoral convention in Łódź on 26 April, he earned the endorsement of outgoing president Andrzej Duda,[91] who previously refrained from issuing endorsements or supporting any of the candidates.[92]

During the campaign, some considered Trzaskowski to have taken a "turn to the right";[93] Trzaskowski put forward the idea to limit welfare programs for non-working Ukrainian refugees[94][95] which was proposed in the Sejm by Law and Justice on 20 January to "check" the genuinity of Trzaskowski's proposal.[96] While being a supporter of LGBT rights, he was not outspoken about it.[94] During the first TVP debate in Końskie, after being given an LGBT flag by Nawrocki, Trzaskowski first hid and then gave away the flag to his opponent, Magdalena Biejat.[94] Despite being a supporter of same-sex civil unions, he spoke out against same-sex adoption.[94][97]

Mentzen and Braun, who would come third and fourth in the election, campaigned along right-wing social and economic lines. Mentzen, who polled best among the youth, and eventually won the demographic,[98] visited the largest amount of powiats out of all the other candidates.[99] Some commentators believed Mentzen had a chance to enter the second round, and by March, Mentzen was rising in opinion polling, in some of them even slightly coming ahead of Nawrocki.[100] However, he began declining afterwards.[101][102]

In March, a public outcry erupted over an abortion conducted in the 36th week of pregnancy of a fetus with a birth defect in a hospital in Oleśnica.[103] Right-wing politicians criticized the abortion. President Duda called the act barbaric,[104] Nawrocki called it murder and stated that the state should help children with disabilities,[105] Braun came to notoriety regarding the incident when on 16 April, he, along with others, stormed into the hospital and constrained the gynecologist who conducted the abortion for several minutes, claiming to conduct a poseł's intervention [pl][103] for which, alongside other incidents, he lost his europarliamentary immunity.[106] On 27 March, Mentzen conducted an interview with candidate Krzysztof Stanowski, during which his statement expressing unconditional opposition to abortion and describing pregnancy resulting from rape as "unpleasant" sparked significant backlash.[107]

An important election issue was the matter of the health insurance contribution (Polish: składka zdrowotna), with the country's poor healthcare being amongst the most important problems.[108] In April, the center and center-right parties in the coalition government narrowly voted to decrease the health insurance contribution for entrepreneurs,[108] which sparked protests from the left, especially posełs from Razem, accusing the government of attempting to undermine and then privatize public healthcare.[46] On 11 April, Razem's leader, Adrian Zandberg, missed the first TVP debate to have an audience with President Andrzej Duda about the health contribution,[109] which he did on 6 May. Following Duda's veto of the decrease, Trzaskowski defended his party's health insurance contribution proposal, stating it would lead to increase the amount of money in the healthcare system,[110] with Hołownia also approving of the proposal. Meanwhile, Nawrocki and Biejat disagreed, speaking of the already poor state of Poland's healthcare.[111]

During the course of the campaign, public criticism emerged over Nawrocki's acquisition of a second apartment from an elderly man in pre-trial detention. As Nawrocki had declared to own just one apartment during a debate, Onet publicized information about him owning a second one. The candidate proceeded to declare that he had acquired the second apartment from the elderly man for pledging lifelong care in exchange, however it was revealed the man was placed in a state care facility without Nawrocki's involvement.[112] Amid accusations of exploitation, Nawrocki defended the deal's legality and promised to donate the property to charity.[113]

Second round

[edit]
Candidates at campaign events in the second round.
First row: Trzaskowski at his "Great March of Patriots" in Warsaw.
Second row: Nawrocki at a CPAC event in Jasionka, Nawrocki at a rally in Bydgoszcz.

Trzaskowski and Nawrocki advanced to the second round, with Nawrocki overperforming in the polls. Hołownia and Biejat quickly endorsed Trzaskowski,[114][115] and Jakubiak endorsed Nawrocki.[116] Mentzen, who came third in the first round with 14.8% of the vote, called both advancing candidates to meet with him in a public meeting, and presented a set of eight points[h] for each candidate to sign onto,[117] which were signed by Nawrocki.[118][119][120] Trzaskowski also appeared on 24 May 2025, agreeing with four out of the eight points, but not agreeing to sign onto them.[121] Following Trzaskowski's appearance, he went out to drink with Mentzen, generating accusations of Mentzen being a traitor by Confederation figures.[122][123] Trzaskowski, meanwhile, faced criticism from Left supporters, which were dissatisfied with him drinking with a far-right politician.[124][125]

Shortly after the completion of the first round, both candidates announced launching rallies of support to be held in Warsaw on the same day, 25 May.[126] Differing turnout estimates were presented, ranging between 130,000 and 160,000, including Romanian president-elect Nicușor Dan,[127] for Trzaskowski's march and between 50,000 and 70,000 for Nawrocki's rally.[128][129]

Voting ballot in the election's second round on June 1, 2025.

Throughout the second round, Nawrocki encountered a set of new controversies involving his personal life, beginning with the revelation that he had previously participated in a 70 vs 70 football hooligans' fight (Polish: ustawka) between fans of Lechia Gdańsk and Lech Poznań.[130] Facing criticism, he accused Prime Minister Tusk of likewise participating in football hooliganism in his youth, and called the fights "noble battles".[131][132] It also came to light that Nawrocki had Chelsea F.C. and Lechia Gdańsk tattoos on his torso.[133] Further controversies about Nawrocki's personal background emerged due to allegations of him having worked as a bodyguard for prostitutes in a five-star Grand Hotel in Sopot in his youth[134][135][136][137][138] and using snus while on air during presidential debate,[139][140][141] raising allegations of his heavy nicotine addiction.[142][143]

Second round candidate endorsements

[edit]
All. Party 2023 votes Endorsement
ZP Law and Justice 31.72%[i] Karol Nawrocki
Freedom and Prosperity Karol Nawrocki[144]
Renewal of the Republic of Poland Karol Nawrocki[145]
Kukiz'15 0.35% Karol Nawrocki[146]
KO Civic Platform 23.12% Rafał Trzaskowski
League of Polish Families Rafał Trzaskowski[147]
Yes! For Poland Rafał Trzaskowski[148]
Modern 1.74% Rafał Trzaskowski[149]
The Greens 0.31% Rafał Trzaskowski[150]
AGROunia 0.25% Against Nawrocki[151]
Democratic Left Association 0.01% Rafał Trzaskowski[152]
TD Poland 2050 7.23% Rafał Trzaskowski[153]
Polish People's Party 5.51% Rafał Trzaskowski[154]
Centre for Poland 0.32% Rafał Trzaskowski[155]
Union of European Democrats 0.10% Rafał Trzaskowski[67]
L New Left 5.55% Rafał Trzaskowski[156]
Labour Union 0.05% Rafał Trzaskowski[157]
Polish Socialist Party 0.02% No endorsement[158]
Freedom and Equality 0.002% Karol Nawrocki[159]
KWiN New Hope 2.56% Against Trzaskowski[160]
National Movement 0.92% Against Trzaskowski[161]
Razem 2.10% No endorsement[162]
Confederation of the Polish Crown 0.85% Karol Nawrocki[163]
Candidate First round Endorsement
Sławomir Mentzen 14.81% No endorsement[j]
Grzegorz Braun 6.34% Karol Nawrocki[166]
Szymon Hołownia 4.99% Rafał Trzaskowski[114]
Adrian Zandberg 4.86% No endorsement[167]
Magdalena Biejat 4.23% Rafał Trzaskowski[115]
Krzysztof Stanowski 1.24% Against both[k]
Joanna Senyszyn 1.09% Rafał Trzaskowski[169]
Marek Jakubiak 0.77% Karol Nawrocki[116]
Artur Bartoszewicz 0.49% Karol Nawrocki[170]
Maciej Maciak 0.19% Boycott[171]
Marek Woch 0.09% Karol Nawrocki[172]

Debates

[edit]

Several debates were organized: TVP, TVN, and Polsat declared they will jointly hold a debate of all the candidates.[192] TV Republika announced a debate on 14 April, though Trzaskowski and Magdalena Biejat declined the invitation.[193]

On 11 April 2025, two debates took place in Końskie, widely described as chaotic.[194][195][196][197] One was organized by TV Republika, wPolsce24 [pl] and the Catholic Telewizja Trwam, with five candidates participating (Hołownia, Jakubiak, Nawrocki, Senyszyn, Stanowski).[195] Another one, organized by Trzaskowski's committee and moderated by journalists of TVP, TVN and Polsat, was held at the town's sports hall once the candidates from the earlier debate joined Biejat, Maciak and Trzaskowski.[194] The former was initiated in opposition to the latter event,[198] which organization started spontaneously on 9 April,[196] and which in the beginning was meant for just the two leading candidates, however other ones were also invited just shortly before its planned start.[194]

On 12 May 2025 an official presidential debate involving all 13 candidates was hosted by the state broadcaster Telewizja Polska. During the debate, two questions were published by an employee of the broadcaster Jarosław Olechowski on Twitter prior to being asked by the host Dorota Wysocka-Schnepf [pl]; one at the time of their publication, the other over an hour later.[199]

On 23 May 2025, the first second-round debate was held between Nawrocki and Trzaskowski. The debate had thematic sections for healthcare, foreign policy, economics, welfare, security and social policy.[200] During the debate, Nawrocki was criticized for using a nicotine pouch (snus) in the middle of the debate.[201] Meanwhile, Trzaskowski caused controversy for calling Stowarzyszenie Demagog [pl] to fact-check Nawrocki, which confirmed Nawrocki's statement.[202]

Journalist Krzysztof Stanowski, himself a candidate, held extensive interviews with the other candidates[203] except for Maciej Maciak, the interview with whom was ended abruptly just after a few minutes once Maciak expressed favorable views about the Russian president Vladimir Putin.[204]

The final debate of the election, organized by Telewizja Republika, was set to take place on 28 May 2025 in the market square of Końskie. However, Trzaskowski ultimately declined the invitation and instead travelled to Kalisz to speak with voters in a one-on-one format there. Nawrocki's televised conversation with the town's residents was interrupted by Witold Zembaczyński, who drew attention to himself using a deck of cards and by running in front of the stage.[205]

# Date Time (CEST) Location Hosted by Host(s) Ref
1 11 April 2025 18:50 Końskie
[206]
2 11 April 2025 20:44 Końskie
[207][208]
3 14 April 2025 20:03 Warsaw TV Republika [209][210]
4 28 April 2025 18:00 Warsaw Super Express
  • Jan Złotorowicz
  • Jacek Prusinowski
[211][212][213][214]
5 30 April 2025 20:00 Gdynia Campaign teams of
Biejat and Hołownia
  • Joanna Dzieniszewska
  • Łukasz Michnik
[215][216]
6 5 May 2025 20:00 Polsat studio Polsat News [217]
7 9 May 2025 20:00 Warsaw
[218][219]
8 12 May 2025 20:00 TVP headquarters, Warsaw
  • Dorota Wysocka-Schnepf
  • Radomir Wit
  • Piotr Witwicki
[220]
9 23 May 2025 20:00 TVP headquarters, Warsaw [n]
[221]
10 28 May 2025 20:00 Końskie TV Republika [222][223][224]

Participation

[edit]

The following is a table of participating candidates in each debate:

Participating candidates
Candidate
 P  Present  I  Invited, not present  N  Not invited Total Attnd.
1 2 3 4 5 6[o] 7 8 9 10
Bartoszewicz I I P P N P P P N N 5 71%
Biejat I P I P P P I P N N 5 63%
Braun I I P P N P P P N N 5 71%
Hołownia P P P P P P P P N N 8 100%
Jakubiak P P P P N P P P N N 7 100%
Maciak N P N P N N N P N N 3 100%
Mentzen I I P P N P P P N N 5 71%
Nawrocki P P P P N P P P P P 9 100%
Senyszyn P P P P N P P P N N 7 100%
Stanowski P P P P N P P P N N 7 100%
Trzaskowski I P I P N P I P P I 5 56%
Woch I I P P N P P P N N[p] 5 71%
Zandberg I I P P N P P P N N 5 71%

Timeline

[edit]

Marshal of the Sejm Szymon Hołownia announced the election day on 8 January 2025;[226] the following schedule was approved by the National Electoral Commission on 15 January 2025:[28]

Timeline of the 2025 Polish presidential election
DateEvent description
until 24 March 2025
  • Notifying the National Electoral Commission of setting up election committees for candidates for the Presidency of the Republic of Poland
until 31 March 2025
  • The appointment of constituency electoral commissions
until 4 April 2025 at 16:00 CEST
  • Submitting to the National Electoral Commission candidates for the Presidency of the Republic of Poland
from 4 April 2025 until 15 May 2025
  • Submitting by voters requests to:
    • issue the certificate confirming the right to vote in the place of residence on election day,
    • change the voting location,
  • Submitting by soldiers performing basic military service or those performing military training and policemen serving in quarted units, officers of the State Security Service, the Border Guards, the State Fire Service and the Prison Service serving in quarted units, requests to change the voting location
from 4 April 2025 until 15 May 2025
  • Local voting commissions are to be constituted
  • Foreign voting districts and polling stations abroad are to be announced
until 14 April 2025
  • Establishment of polling districts in medical facilities, social welfare facilities, penal institutions and detention centers, as well as in extramural departments of these establishments, dormitories and complexes of dormitories, as well as determination of their boundaries, consecutive number, as well as their locations
until 18 April 2025
  • Providing public information on the consecutive numbers and boundaries of polling districts, as well as location of district electoral commissions, including premises adapted to the needs of disabled persons, as well as the possibility of postal voting and proxy voting,
  • Submission of requests to establish polling districts aboard Polish ships by captains of ships,
  • Nomination of candidates to district electoral commission by agents of election committees
from 3 May 2025 until 17 May 2025 at 00:00 CEST
  • Broadcast without payment of the election programmes, prepared by election committees by means of public radio and television broadcasters
until 5 May 2025
  • Notice of the intention to vote by correspondence by disabled voters, including by means of overlays on ballot papers in Braille alphabet, and by voters who are 60 years of age or older on the day of voting,
  • notice of the intention to exercise the right to free transportation to the polling station or free return transportation by disabled voters and by voters who are 60 years of age or older on the day of voting, in a commune where on the election day there is no communal passenger transport
until 8 May 2025
  • Providing public information on the organization of free transportation in communes, rural or urban-rural communes, on the day referred to in the art. 37f § 1 of the Electoral Code
until 9 May 2025
  • Submitting requests to draw up the power of attorney to vote by disabled voters and those who are 60 years of age or older on the day of voting
DateEvent description
until 13 May 2025
  • Submitting requests to be entered in the roll of voters in polling districts established abroad by voters staying abroad,
  • Submitting requests to be entered in the roll of voters in polling districts established on Polish ships by voters present aboard those ships
until 15 May 2025
  • Information for disabled voters and voters who are 60 years of age or older on the day of voting, who have noticed of their intention to exercise their right to transportation to the polling station, about the timing of transportation on the voting day
.
On 17 May 2025 at 00:00 CEST
  • The electoral campaign formally concludes
  • Election silence commences: no political broadcasts, social media posts, or issuing of new physical advertising materials is allowed
On 18 May 2025
  • The vote takes place between 7:00–21:00 CEST
  • Projected results of the exit poll are announced after 21:00 CEST
from 19 May 2025 until 29 May 2025
  • Submitting by voters requests to:
    • issue the certificate confirming the right to vote in the place of residence on election day,
    • change the voting location,
  • Submitting by soldiers performing basic military service or those performing military training and policemen serving in quarted units, officers of the State Security Service, the Border Guards, the State Fire Service and the Prison Service serving in quarted units, requests to change the voting location
until 22 May 2025
  • Notice of the intention to vote by correspondence by disabled voters, including by means of overlays on ballot papers in Braille alphabet, and by voters who are 60 years of age or older on the day of voting
until 23 May 2025
  • Submitting requests to draw up the power of attorney to vote by disabled voters and those who are 60 years of age or older on the day of voting
until 27 May 2025
  • Notice of the intention to exercise the right to free transportation to the polling station or free return transportation by disabled voters and by voters who are 60 years of age or older on the day of voting, in a commune where on the election day there is no communal passenger transport,
  • Submitting requests to be entered in the roll of voters in polling districts established abroad by voters staying abroad,
  • Submitting requests to be entered in the roll of voters in polling districts established on Polish ships by voters present aboard those ships
until 29 May 2025
  • Information for disabled voters and voters who are 60 years of age or older on the day of voting, who have noticed of their intention to exercise their right to transportation to the polling station, about the timing of transportation on the voting day
On 30 May 2025 at 00:00 CEST
  • The electoral campaign formally concludes
  • Election silence commences: no political broadcasts, social media posts, or issuing of new physical advertising materials is allowed
On 1 June 2025
  • The vote takes place between 7:00–21:00 CEST
  • Projected results of the exit poll are announced after 21:00 CEST

Opinion polls

[edit]

First round

[edit]
LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, first round.
LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, first round.

Second round

[edit]
LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, second round.
LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, second round.

Results

[edit]

In the first round Trzaskowski came first with 31% of the vote, with Nawrocki coming in second with 30%, advancing to the second round. The right-wing candidates Nawrocki, Mentzen and Braun overperformed polls, received 30%, 15% and 6% respectively, finishing second, third and fourth.[3][4] Hołownia and Biejat underperformed, coming fifth and seventh, the latter coming below her left-wing rival, Zandberg.[5][6]

In the second round, according to an exit poll by Ipsos, Trzaskowski received 50.3% of the vote and Nawrocki 49.7%, however, the margin of 0.6% was within the margin of error. Shortly after the poll was released, Trzaskowski claimed victory giving a speech to supporters in Warsaw.[227] A late poll, released by Ipsos at 23:00, later indicated that Nawrocki came first with 50.7% of the vote.[228] After all votes were counted, Nawrocki's vote share ended with 10,606,877 votes (50.89%), against Trzaskowski's 10,237,286 (49.11%).[229]

CandidatePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Rafał TrzaskowskiCivic Coalition (PO)6,147,79731.3610,237,53449.11
Karol NawrockiIndependent (PiS)5,790,80429.5410,606,62950.89
Sławomir MentzenConfederation (New Hope)2,902,44814.81
Grzegorz BraunPolish Crown1,242,9176.34
Szymon HołowniaThird Way (Poland 2050)978,9014.99
Adrian ZandbergPartia Razem952,8324.86
Magdalena BiejatIndependent (The Left)829,3614.23
Krysztof StanowskiIndependent243,4791.24
Joanna SenyszynIndependent (SLD)214,1981.09
Marek JakubiakFree Republicans150,6980.77
Artur BartoszewiczIndependent95,6400.49
Maciej MaciakIndependent (RDiP)36,3710.19
Marek WochBezpartyjni Samorządowcy18,3380.09
Total19,603,784100.0020,844,163100.00
Valid votes19,603,78499.5620,844,16399.10
Invalid/blank votes85,8130.44189,2940.90
Total votes19,689,597100.0021,033,457100.00
Registered voters/turnout29,252,34067.3129,363,72271.63
Source: PKW Poland Elects

By voivodeship, abroad and ships

[edit]

First round

[edit]
Voivodeship Trzaskowski
KO
Nawrocki
PiS
Mentzen
Confederation
Braun
KKP
Hołownia
TD
Zandberg
Razem
Biejat
The Left
Stanowski
Ind.
Senyszyn
SLD
Jakubiak
WR
Bartoszewicz
Ind.
Maciak
RDiP
Woch
BS
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Lower Silesian 519,319 36.52 362,779 25.51 192,749 13.56 77,921 5.48 66,643 4.69 80,976 5.70 66,320 4.66 17,430 1.23 17,342 1.22 2,717 0.68 6,727 0.47 2,717 0.19 1,249 0.09
Kuyavian-Pomeranian 339,442 35.63 251,323 26.38 141,713 14.87 49,699 5.22 49,495 5.19 41,052 4.31 44,077 4.63 12,039 1.26 10,304 1.08 2,087 0.67 4,296 0.45 2,087 0.22 879 0.09
Lublin 213,269 20.65 402,906 39.02 170,886 16.55 96,862 9.38 44,662 4.32 36,471 3.53 28,625 2.77 10,828 1.05 9,009 0.87 2,143 0.93 5,551 0.54 2,143 0.21 1,811 0.18
Lubusz 183,321 40.49 105,266 23.25 64,452 14.23 25,954 5.73 22,352 4.94 18,325 4.05 17,529 3.87 5,159 1.14 4,520 1.00 779 0.58 2,133 0.47 779 0.17 383 0.08
Łódź 377,192 30.27 400,817 32.17 172,049 13.81 75,641 6.07 58,080 4.66 56,702 4.55 56,981 4.57 15,248 1.22 13,629 1.09 2,391 0.82 6,133 0.49 2,391 0.19 1,043 0.08
Lesser Poland 445,859 24.41 643,054 35.21 295,847 16.20 120,425 6.59 89,634 4.91 99,552 5.45 63,052 3.45 22,519 1.23 18,951 1.04 2,845 0.82 8,090 0.44 2,845 0.16 1,592 0.09
Masovian 957,329 31.52 897,133 29.53 409,064 13.47 170,378 5.61 150,536 4.96 168,936 5.56 151,315 4.98 42,731 1.41 38,173 1.26 4,944 0.94 15,830 0.52 4,944 0.16 2,736 0.09
Opole 148,253 35.59 107,179 25.73 63,664 15.28 26,750 6.42 23,534 5.65 16,984 4.08 14,838 3.56 5,116 1.23 3,976 0.95 936 0.68 2,107 0.51 936 0.22 408 0.10
Subcarpathian 188,299 17.90 449,871 42.77 185,021 17.59 96,959 9.22 40,971 3.90 32,335 3.07 23,395 2.22 10,695 1.02 7,691 0.73 2,032 0.84 4,824 0.46 2,032 0.19 886 0.08
Podlaskie 130,372 23.31 199,325 35.64 95,487 17.07 43,059 7.70 32,337 5.78 20,277 3.63 16,375 2.93 6,547 1.17 4,967 0.89 1,781 0.80 3,810 0.68 1,781 0.32 399 0.07
Pomeranian 460,423 38.05 268,441 22.19 171,136 14.14 70,843 5.85 69,922 5.78 70,843 5.85 58,120 4.80 16,683 1.38 15,856 1.31 2,052 0.67 5,805 0.48 2,052 0.17 1,165 0.10
Silesian 722,469 33.37 599,900 27.71 322,362 14.89 122,604 5.66 115,554 5.34 104,539 4.83 93,143 4.30 29,062 1.34 23,672 1.09 3,948 0.70 10,551 0.49 3,948 0.18 2,090 0.10
Świętokrzyskie 140,322 23.73 236,151 39.94 85,188 14.41 36,923 7.94 24,745 4.18 19,749 3.34 18,283 3.09 6,035 1.02 4,996 0.84 1,121 0.80 2,626 0.44 1,121 0.19 496 0.08
Warmian-Masurian 215,229 34.56 168,158 27.00 96,346 15.47 37,144 5.96 31,510 5.06 25,111 4.03 26,577 4.27 7,187 1.15 5,983 0.96 1,250 0.74 3,188 0.51 1,250 0.20 562 0.09
Greater Poland 619,185 35.04 433,259 24.52 258,786 14.64 97,413 5.51 104,788 5.93 97,235 5.50 87,208 4.93 22,660 1.28 21,174 1.20 3,060 0.70 8,353 0.47 3,060 0.17 1,733 0.10
West Pomeranian 315,978 40.31 190,398 24.29 100,468 12.82 42,219 5.39 38,167 4.87 33,598 4.29 35,057 4.47 9,356 1.19 8,155 1.04 1,368 0.62 3,562 0.45 1,368 0.17 671 0.09
Abroad and ships 171,536 36.82 74,844 16.07 77,229 16.58 51,552 11.07 15,971 3.43 30,147 6.47 28,466 6.11 4,184 0.90 5,800 1.24 2,932 0.63 2,054 0.44 917 0.20 235 0.05
Poland 6,147,797 31.36 5,790,804 29.54 2,902,448 14.81 1,242,917 6.34 962,930 4.99 952,832 4.86 829,361 4.23 243,479 1.24 214,198 1.09 150,698 0.77 95,640 0.49 36,371 0.19 18,338 0.09
Source: National Electoral Commission

Second round

[edit]
Voivodeship Nawrocki
PiS
Trzaskowski
KO
Votes % Votes %
Lower Silesian 673,218 44.19 850,305 55.81
Kuyavian-Pomeranian 470,660 46.58 539,860 53.42
Lublin 720,119 66.54 362,053 33.46
Lubusz 201,982 41.78 281,477 58.22
Łódź 701,859 53.20 617,350 46.80
Lesser Poland 1,132,733 58.87 791,494 41.13
Masovian 1,585,019 49.72 1,602,996 50.28
Opole 210,321 47.02 236,992 52.98
Subcarpathian 780,429 71.02 318,485 28.98
Podlaskie 357,847 61.39 225,062 38.61
Pomeranian 521,725 40.87 754,823 59.13
Silesian 1,111,205 48.66 1,172,343 51.34
Świętokrzyskie 401,863 63.61 229,895 36.39
Warmian-Masurian 320,797 48.29 343,483 51.71
Greater Poland 837,129 44.83 1,030,175 55.17
West Pomeranian 359,267 41.97 496,666 58.03
Abroad and ships 220,704 36.51 383,827 63.49
Poland 10,606,877 50.89 10,237,286 49.11
Source: National Electoral Commission

Electorate demographics

[edit]
2nd Ipsos exit polls for the first[230][ad] and second[231] rounds. Shifts calculated from 2020 Ipsos late poll[232]
Demographic Second round First round
Nawrocki
PiS
Trzaskowski
KO
Shift for PiS
from 2020
Trzaskowski
KO
Nawrocki
PiS
Mentzen
KWiN
Braun
KKP
Hołownia
TD
Zandberg
Razem
Biejat
The Left
Stanowski
Ind.
Senyszyn
SLD
Jakubiak
WR
Bartoszewicz
Ind.
Maciak
RDiP
Woch
BS
Total vote 50.88 49.12 -0.14 31.36 29.54 14.81 6.34 4.99 4.86 4.23 1.24 1.09 0.77 0.49 0.19 0.09
Late poll results 51.0 49.0 =0.0 31.2 29.7 14.5 6.3 4.9 4.8 4.1 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.1
Sex
Men 55.5 44.5 +3.6 28.0 28.6 19.7 7.6 4.4 4.0 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2
Women 47.2 52.8 -2.5 34.1 30.8 9.8 5.1 5.3 5.6 5.6 0.9 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.1
Age
18–29 years old 53.2 46.8 +16.9 13.0 11.1 34.8 5.3 4.3 18.7 5.3 2.5 3.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
30–39 years old 54.0 46.0 +8.7 21.6 19.5 24.8 9.9 6.9 5.2 6.1 2.4 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.1
40–49 years old 47.9 52.1 +2.3 34.2 26.9 11.2 8.6 7.1 2.2 5.0 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2
50–59 years old 49.4 50.6 -10.3 36.8 36.3 7.7 6.1 4.9 1.6 3.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
60 and older 51.0 49.0 -11.5 42.5 45.3 2.6 2.9 2.4 0.5 1.7 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1
Education
Elementary 73.0 27.0 -4.3 16.0 52.3 12.7 5.6 2.5 4.7 2.4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1
Vocational 69.8 30.2 -5.2 22.1 49.2 13.2 7.4 3.0 1.2 1.7 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
Secondary 53.9 46.1 +3.0 28.9 29.8 17.0 6.9 4.1 5.4 3.3 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2
Higher 39.0 61.0 +4.1 38.6 19.9 12.8 5.3 6.6 5.7 5.9 1.6 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1
Agglomeration
Rural 64.2 35.8 +0.4 21.7 38.1 17.4 7.7 4.7 3.2 2.9 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2
<50,000 pop. 48.7 51.3 +1.8 33.9 29.5 13.6 6.5 4.6 4.3 3.6 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
51,000 – 200,000 pop. 42.9 57.1 -6.7 38.0 23.9 13.2 5.6 5.2 4.9 4.6 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1
201,000 – 500,000 pop. 34.7 65.3 -4.0 42.9 18.7 11.3 3.8 6.1 6.6 5.8 1.7 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
>500,000 pop. 33.2 66.8 -1.0 40.7 17.6 10.8 3.9 5.1 9.7 6.8 1.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.1
Occupation
Company owner 44.6 55.4 +10.5 37.5 17.3 19.9 7.8 5.8 2.7 4.0 1.9 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2
Manager/expert 36.3 63.7 +3.7 37.4 16.9 15.0 5.0 7.2 5.2 6.7 2.2 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1
Admin/services 48.3 51.7 +3.6 30.2 24.3 15.7 6.7 6.3 6.2 5.8 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2
Farmer 80.1 19.9 -1.3 12.2 52.4 14.2 10.4 3.5 1.1 1.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.1
Worker 69.3 30.7 +2.9 17.4 36.7 21.8 10.8 4.0 2.6 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3
Student 44.3 55.7 +14.2 16.1 10.2 26.3 4.0 4.9 25.2 5.8 1.9 4.0 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.1
Unemployed 64.3 35.7 -1.1 19.6 33.9 18.4 8.7 6.0 5.5 3.6 1.0 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.4
Retired 51.6 48.4 -12.5 42.3 45.7 2.5 2.9 2.4 0.6 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
Other 54.8 45.2 +4.2 24.2 28.7 18.9 8.7 5.3 5.0 4.7 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.1
Second round presidential vote in 2020[ae]
Duda 93.3 6.7 +2.2 2.7 64.7 16.3 8.4 2.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.2
Trzaskowski 4.0 96.0 -0.4 71.1 1.0 3.9 1.1 6.7 5.9 6.8 1.0 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1
Didn't vote 55.5 44.5 +25.4 12.8 10.8 33.7 10.5 5.8 15.1 4.0 2.4 2.4 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.1
Don't remember 55.0 45.0 +15.8 16.6 18.8 25.4 12.6 8.5 4.4 5.3 2.4 2.6 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.4
Sejm vote in 2023[af]
BS 73.1 26.9 10.8 18.7 15.1 15.8 4.6 7.5 5.2 6.0 3.5 3.8 6.5 1.4 1.1
TD 20.9 79.1 -8.5 22.6 4.0 10.8 2.8 36.6 8.7 7.3 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.3
NL 10.8 89.2 +2.5 17.9 2.7 3.9 2.4 2.6 33.1 29.9 1.0 5.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1
PiS 97.9 2.1 +1.0 1.4 83.3 6.9 4.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Confederation 89.3 10.7 +49.3 2.1 4.7 66.6 21.1 0.6 1.1 0.3 1.2 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0
KO 4.1 95.9 +2.3 81.7 1.1 3.0 0.9 3.0 3.4 4.1 0.8 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1
PJJ 75.9 24.1 9.0 27.6 18.8 26.8 2.5 2.4 0.2 3.6 3.2 3.5 0.9 1.2 0.3
Other parties 55.6 44.4 +38.8 10.4 17.1 9.7 18.7 3.9 13.3 5.3 6.9 5.6 2.0 2.2 3.3 1.6
Didn't vote 56.9 43.1 +18.6 15.5 15.1 29.5 12.0 3.7 11.9 3.6 3.4 2.2 1.3 0.7 1.0 0.1
Don't remember 54.1 45.9 +14.0 20.2 20.3 18.0 12.6 5.2 8.4 6.3 2.6 2.9 1.3 1.5 0.3 0.4
Transfer of electorates from the first round of the election
Electorates transferred from candidates
in column to candidate in row
Trzaskowski
KO
Nawrocki
PiS
Mentzen
KWiN
Braun
KKP
Hołownia
TD
Zandberg
Razem
Biejat
The Left
Stanowski
Ind.
Senyszyn
SLD
Jakubiak
WR
Bartoszewicz
Ind.
Maciak
RDiP
Woch
BS
Karol Nawrocki 1.2 99.3 87.2 92.6 14.6 16.5 11.7 52.1 19.3 89.5 69.6 70.7 53.8
Rafał Trzaskowski 98.8 0.7 12.8 7.4 85.4 83.5 88.3 47.9 80.7 10.5 30.4 29.3 46.2

Turnout

[edit]

Overview

[edit]
First round turnout by gmina

Increase or decrease in turnout relative to 2020.

Time (CEST) First round Second round
12:00 20.28% (Decrease 4.45pp) 24.83% (Increase 0.10pp)
17:00 50.69% (Increase 1.41pp) 54.91% (Increase 2.81pp)
Final 67.31% (Increase 2.80pp) 71.63% (Increase 3.45pp)
Agglomeration First round Second round
Urban areas 68.34% (Increase 2.40pp) 72.84% (Increase 3.80pp)
Rural areas 64.78% (Increase 3.02pp) 69.04% (Increase 2.64pp)
Amplitudes First round Second round
Highest turnout gmina Krynica Morska (83.51%) Krynica Morska (88.38%)
Lowest turnout gmina Zębowice (41.61%) Lasowice Wielkie (47.67%)
Source: National Electoral Commission

First round

[edit]

Voter turnout by voivodeships

[edit]
Voivodeship Number of eligible voters Number of valid ballots Percentage
Lower Silesian 2,179,515 1,428,270 65.53
Kuyavian-Pomeranian 1,508,883 956,844 63.41
Lublin 1,581,156 1,036,946 65.58
Lubusz 735,151 454,969 61.89
Łódź 1,834,708 1,251,695 68.22
Lesser Poland 2,630,055 1,833,457 69.71
Masovian 4,156,733 3,050,909 73.40
Opole 726,177 418,575 57.64
Subcarpathian 1,609,302 1,056,009 65.62
Podlaskie 874,307 561,833 64.26
Pomeranian 1,759,968 1,215,424 69.06
Silesian 3,283,581 2,174,449 66.22
Świętokrzyskie 929,724 593,965 63.89
Warmian-Masurian 1,035,537 626,061 60.46
Greater Poland 2,641,294 1,774,671 67.19
West Pomeranian 1,241,872 787,715 63.43
Poland 28,727,963 19,221,792 66.91
Source: National Electoral Commission

Voter turnout in large cities (with populations over 250,000)

[edit]
City Number of eligible voters Number of valid ballots Percentage
Wrocław 504,001 371,481 73.99
Poznań 407,035 303,699 74.86
Warszawa 1,379,227 1,089,680 79.29
Szczecin 280,501 193,668 69.33
Kraków 621,058 465,148 75.14
Łódź 491,800 346,245 70.67
Bydgoszcz 241,846 166,301 69.01
Białystok 213,477 150,207 70.65
Gdańsk 372,134 280,994 75.79
Lublin 253,867 178,695 70.63
Total 4,764,946 3,546,118 74.42
Source: National Electoral Commission

Voter turnout by location

[edit]
Location Number of eligible voters Number of valid ballots Percentage
City 17,169,697 11,734,470 68.34
Village 11,558,266 7,487,322 64.78
Abroad 524,204 467,633 89.21
Ships 173 172 99.42
Total 29,252,340 19,689,597 67.31
Source: National Electoral Commission

Second round

[edit]

Voter turnout by voivodeships

[edit]
Voivodeship Number of eligible voters Number of valid ballots Percentage
Lower Silesian 2,177,407 1,537,859 70.63
Kuyavian-Pomeranian 1,501,949 1,019,510 67.88
Lublin 1,567,771 1,091,630 69.63
Lubusz 731,055 487,694 66.71
Łódź 1,821,514 1,331,727 73.11
Lesser Poland 2,625,479 1,941,743 73.96
Masovian 4,152,285 3,218,427 77.51
Opole 720,842 451,310 62.61
Subcarpathian 1,594,072 1,107,294 69.46
Podlaskie 867,625 588,023 67.77
Pomeranian 1,775,803 1,288,961 72.58
Silesian 3,261,536 2,305,374 70.68
Świętokrzyskie 921,271 636,814 69.12
Warmian-Masurian 1,035,396 670,038 64.71
Greater Poland 2,633,052 1,885,361 71.60
West Pomeranian 1,254,853 863,473 68.81
Poland 28,641,910 20,425,238 71.31
Source: National Electoral Commission

Voter turnout in large cities (with populations over 250,000)

[edit]
City Number of eligible voters Number of valid ballots Percentage
Wrocław 510,438 401,815 78.72
Poznań 413,189 327,022 79.15
Warszawa 1,384,869 1,151,599 83.16
Szczecin 280,400 209,146 74.59
Kraków 626,893 499,716 79.71
Łódź 488,805 368,837 75.46
Bydgoszcz 241,446 176,801 73.23
Białystok 212,573 155,811 73.30
Gdańsk 376,703 297,414 78.95
Lublin 255,018 190,372 74.65
Total 4,790,334 3,546,118 78.88
Source: National Electoral Commission

Voter turnout by location

[edit]
Location Number of eligible voters Number of valid ballots Percentage
City 17,122,097 12,472,310 72.84
Village 11,519,813 7,952,928 69.04
Abroad 721,608 608,043 84.26
Ships 204 176 86.27
Total 29,363,722 21,033,457 71.63
Source: National Electoral Commission

Conduct

[edit]

In the lead-up to the election, a portion of the party subsidy was withheld from Law and Justice. The issue emerged after the National Electoral Commission ruled the party's financial report for the 2023 parliamentary campaign, and consequently its 2023 annual report, to be flawed. As a result, both the campaign dotation and the annual subsidy were reduced by approximately 11 million PLN. The ruling was appealed to the Supreme Court of Poland, where the Extraordinary Review and Public Affairs Chamber decided in favour of the party. This legally bound the commission to change its verdict, which happened on 30 December 2024. However, as the legitimacy of this particular Supreme Court chamber has been questioned by the ruling government and the Court of Justice of the European Union due to the ongoing rule of law crisis since 2017, the Minister of Finance Andrzej Domański refused to transfer the disputed funds.[233][234][235] Ultimately, Nawrocki had to conduct his campaign without the funds transferred to PiS.[236] Therefore, Nawrocki had to finance his campaign through a grassroot effort – around 50,000 supporters donated to his election effort.[237]

PiS launched the "Electoral Protection Movement" (Polish: Ruch Ochrony Wyborów), operated primarily by former Minister of Education Przemysław Czarnek,[238] with the intention of safeguarding the democratic conduct of the election and protecting it from electoral fraud.[239][240]

Wirtualna Polska detailed allegations that Facebook campaign ads which favored Trzaskowski and attacked Nawrocki and Mentzen, had ties to a foreign company — Estratos Digital GmbH, based in Vienna and headed by two Hungarians — Ádám Ficsor and Viktor Szigetvári, with capital tied to the American Democratic Party.[241] The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) and Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) investigated the election and confirmed the allegations.[242]

The OSCE-PACE report further pointed out the bias of government institutions like NASK in favor of Trzaskowski. According to the report, public media, like TVP, was also biased, and depicted Nawrocki in a negative light.[243][244] The Polish National Broadcasting Council released a report accusing TVP and TVN of supporting the Trzaskowski campaign, and TV Republika of supporting Nawrocki.[245]

There were anomalies in some voting station protocols where both candidates lost votes relative to the first round with most cases disadvantaging Rafał Trzaskowski. Journalists investigating the situation have asserted that in at least 15 polling stations the results may have been flipped and in Mińsk Mazowiecki this was confirmed to be the case by the chairman of the commission.[246][247]

Several politicians and journalists aligned with the ruling coalition partook in election denial:[248] Roman Giertych claimed opposition committed organized electoral fraud,[249][250] claiming also that Nawrocki's campaign was advantaged by a right-leaning TikTok algorithm, which helped them in the campaign.[251] Ryszard Kalisz,[252] Tomasz Lis,[253] Dorota Wysocka-Schnepf [pl][254] among others called for a recount of the election, and Trzaskowski's electoral chief of staff publicized a website for filing complaints about the elections.[255]

The Supreme Court received protests against the election results, ones stating telepathic manipulation was used to discourage voting for Trzaskowski or that electoral commission personnel was agitating by wearing red corals around their necks.[256]

Aftermath

[edit]

Trzaskowski initially claimed victory after the first exit poll showed him leading, while Nawrocki said that the results were too close to call.[257] Trzaskowski subsequently conceded after the final results showed Nawrocki winning.[258]

Prime Minister Donald Tusk said that he will call for a vote of confidence on his government on 11 June, saying that while he "understands the gravity of the moment", he does not intend to "take a step back".[259][260]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b Independent candidate supported and backed by Law and Justice.
  2. ^ The President of Poland traditionally resigns from party membership after taking office. Although Duda was officially an independent, his 2020 campaign was endorsed and funded by Law and Justice.
  3. ^ a b Full name: Konfederacja Odnowy Rzeczypospolitej Wolność i Niepodległość (Confederation for the Renewal of the Republic of Liberty and Independence) — party established by Janusz Korwin-Mikke after his split from Confederation Liberty and Independence; unaffiliated with New Hope, formerly also having a short name of KORWiN.
  4. ^ Denounced by Lower Silesian branch of the party[70]
  5. ^ Withdrew to endorse Marek Woch.
  6. ^ Withdrew to endorse Marek Woch.
  7. ^ Withdrew to endorse Grzegorz Braun.
  8. ^ The declaration included commitments to not allow for:
  9. ^ Aggregate results for Law and Justice (29.11%), Sovereign Poland (2.15%) and The Republicans (0.46%)
  10. ^ Candidate asked his voters to vote based on their conscience without explicitly supporting either of the second round candidates,[164] but stated: "I see no reason to vote for Rafał Trzaskowski." and when speaking of Karol Nawrocki, he argued: "The choice should be obvious. We have a candidate who has signed a declaration that he will abide by them.” [165]
  11. ^ The candidate declared his intention to cast an invalid vote.[168]
  12. ^ Endorsed by the Polish branch of the Pan-European movement, Volt Poland.[187]
  13. ^ The debate was organised by Trzaskowski's campaign committee; TVP, TVN, and Polsat all agreed to conduct and transmit the debate. The TV signal was also available for other stations.
  14. ^ The TV signal was also available for other stations.
  15. ^ Campaign staffers' debate, staffers representing candidates in parenthesis:
  16. ^ Woch arrived at the end of the debate to endorse Nawrocki.[225]
  17. ^ He obtained the highest result in gmina Dziwnów (52,72%), and the lowest in gmina Godziszów (2,57%).
  18. ^ He obtained the highest result in gmina Chrzanów (64,95%), and the lowest in Wisła (12,13%).
  19. ^ He obtained the highest result in gmina Dubicze Cerkiewne (32,86%)and the lowest in Sopot (7,06%).
  20. ^ He obtained the highest result in gmina Podedwórze (20,16%), and the lowest in Krynica Morska (3,17%).
  21. ^ He obtained the highest result in gmina Orla (10,91%), and the lowest in gmina Przytuły (1,15%).
  22. ^ He obtained the highest result in Poznań (10,84%), and the lowest in gmina Czerwonka (0,87%).
  23. ^ She obtained the highest result in Warsaw (7,46%), and the lowest in gmina Klukowo (0,37%).
  24. ^ He obtained the highest result in Inowrocław (3,45%), and the lowest in gmina Nowy Dwór (0,19%).
  25. ^ She obtained the highest result in gmina Lewin Kłodzki (1,95%), and the lowest in gmina Kołaki Kościelne, where she did not receive a single vote.
  26. ^ He obtained the highest result in gmina Tuczna (1,95%), and the lowest in gmina Kozielice, where he did not receive a single vote.
  27. ^ He obtained the highest result in gmina Szypliszki (2,6%), while in 4 gminas he did not receive a single vote.
  28. ^ He obtained the highest result in gmina Orla (2,51%), while in 46 gminas he did not receive a single vote.
  29. ^ He obtained the highest result in gmina Kąkolewnica (4,37%), while in 269 gminas he did not receive a single vote.
  30. ^ The average margin of error for the Ipsos poll is approximately 0.12 percentage points.
  31. ^ Shift column denotes shifts from second round presidential vote in 2015
  32. ^ Shift column denotes shifts from 2019 Sejm vote

References

[edit]
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    • "Jakubiak w Radiu ZET: Poprę w drugiej turze Nawrockiego lub Mentzena". Radio ZET (in Polish). 12 May 2025. Jeśli Karol Nawrocki wejdzie do drugiej tury albo jak to będzie Sławomir Mentzen, to go poprę, nie będę miał też problemu z Grzegorzem Braunem. Każdy prawicowy kandydat będzie lepszy niż Rafał Trzaskowski – wskazał Marek Jakubiak, poseł Wolnych Republikanów oraz kandydat na prezydenta RP w "Popołudniowym Gościu Radia ZET". [If Karol Nawrocki makes it to the second round, or if it's Sławomir Mentzen, I will support him, and I will have no problem with Grzegorz Braun either. Any right-wing candidate will be better than Rafał Trzaskowski, said Marek Jakubiak, MP for the Free Republicans and candidate for President of Poland, on Radio ZET's Popołudniowy Gość programme.]
    • Bugaj, Marcin (19 May 2025). ""Sprawa oczywista". Jakubiak po ogłoszeniu wyników: Od początku o tym mówię". Do Rzeczy (in Polish). Według badania late poll Marek Jakubiak zdobył 0,8 proc. głosów podczas I tury wyborów prezydenckich. Polityk zadeklarował, że poprze w II turze Karola Nawrockiego. Zaapelował także do pozostałych kandydatów prawicowych, aby postąpili tak samo. [According to a late poll, Marek Jakubiak won 0.8% of the vote in the first round of the presidential election. The politician declared that he would support Karol Nawrocki in the second round. He also appealed to other right-wing candidates to do the same.]
    • "Kukiz wprost o II turze: Będę przekonywał elektorat Mentzena i Brauna". Do Rzeczy (in Polish). 20 May 2025. Kukiz przyznał że w pierwszej turze wyborów prezydenckich głosował na Sławomira Mentzena. – Ja będę próbował przekonać elektorat Konfederacji i Grzegorza Brauna do głosowania na Nawrockiego, jako zabezpieczenie przed jednowładztwem Tuska – mówił w rozmowie z dziennikarką wprost.pl. [Kukiz admitted that he voted for Sławomir Mentzen in the first round of the presidential election. ‘I will try to convince the Confederation and Grzegorz Braun's electorate to vote for Nawrocki as a safeguard against Tusk's autocracy,’ he said in an interview with a journalist from wprost.pl.]
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  151. ^ "Pomieszanie z poplątaniem. Kołodziejczak poucza rolników, jak mają głosować, ale jednocześnie dodaje: Nie mówię kogo wybierać". wPolityce.pl [pl]. 22 May 2025. Wiceminister rolnictwa i lider Agrounii Michał Kołodziejczak zaapelował do rolników, by nie głosowali na obywatelskiego kandydata Karola Nawrockiego, którego popiera PiS. [Deputy Minister of Agriculture and leader of AGROunia Michał Kołodziejczak appealed to farmers not to vote for independent candidate Karol Nawrocki, who is supported by PiS.]
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  161. ^ National Movement (28 May 2025). "Wicemarszałek Sejmu @krzysztofbosak w @PolitykaTOKFM : Trzaskowski popiera te polityki tzw. zwalczania dyskryminacji, pod którymi tak naprawdę jest dyskryminacja poglądów konserwatywnych, chrześcijańskich i narodowych! #ByleNieTrzaskowski" [Deputy Speaker of the Sejm @krzysztofbosak on @PolitykaTOKFM: Trzaskowski supports these so-called anti-discrimination policies, which are in fact discrimination against conservative, Christian and nationalist views! #AnyoneButTrzaskowski] (in Polish).
  162. ^ "Partia Razem nie udziela poparcia. Matysiak: jest nam daleko do Trzaskowskiego i do Nawrockiego" [The Razem party is not giving an endorsement. Matysiak: we are far from Trzaskowski and Nawrocki.]. Polskie Radio (in Polish). 23 May 2025.
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    • Ciesielska, Paulina (28 May 2025). "Trzaskowski czy Nawrocki? Mentzen apeluje do swoich wyborców". WP (in Polish). Mentzen oficjalnie nie poparł żadnego z kandydatów. Powiedział, że dał im jedynie przestrzeń i możliwość, aby zaprezentowali się jego wyborcom. [Mentzen did not officially endorse any of the candidates. He said he only gave them the space and opportunity to present themselves to his constituents.]
    • "Sławomir Mentzen zabrał głos przed II turą. W sieci komentarze. "Przewidywalny ruch"" (in Polish). Retrieved 28 May 2025. Sławomir Mentzen przed II turą wyborów prezydenckich nie poparł bezpośrednio ani Karola Nawrockiego, ani Rafała Trzaskowskiego. [Slawomir Mentzen did not directly support either Karol Nawrocki or Rafał Trzaskowski before the second round of the presidential election.]
  165. ^
    • Młodochowska, Laura (28 May 2025). "Sławomir Mentzen ogłasza decyzję ws. poparcia w II turze wyborów". Radio ZET (in Polish). - Podsumowując, nie widzę żadnego sensu, żeby głosować na Rafała Trzaskowskiego – stwierdził. [- In conclusion, I do not see any point in voting for Rafal Trzaskowski," he said.]
    • "Mentzen: Trzaskowski reprezentuje lewicową agendę, z którą się nie zgadzam". Telewizja Republika (in Polish). 28 May 2025. Retrieved 28 May 2025. Z analizy dokonanej przez Mentzena wynikało, że ciężko znaleźć jakikolwiek punkt z którym zgodziłby się Rafał Trzaskowski. Z kolei rozmowa z Karolem Nawrockim pokazała, że obaj panowie mają bardzie wiele wspólnych poglądów. Zdaniem Mentzena Trzaskowski to „śliski" człowiek, który kluczy i nie odpowiada na pytania, a jednocześnie chętnie podpisuje się pod sukcesami, nawet tymi, które nie są jego. [Mentzen's analysis showed that it was difficult to find any point on which Rafał Trzaskowski would agree. On the other hand, a conversation with Karol Nawrocki showed that the two men have many views in common. According to Mentzen, Trzaskowski is a ‘slimy’ man who evades questions and does not answer them, while at the same time eagerly taking credit for successes, even those that are not his.]
    • Sawka, Natalia (28 May 2025). "Mentzen: "Nie widzę żadnego powodu, by głosować na Rafała Trzaskowskiego"". OKO.press (in Polish). „Widać, że jesteśmy z Trzaskowskim po dwóch stronach barykady" – ocenił. „Nie widzę żadnego powodu, żeby głosować na Rafała Trzaskowskiego" – skwitował. [‘It is evident that we are on opposite sides of the political divide with Trzaskowski,’ he stated. ‘I see no reason to vote for Rafał Trzaskowski,’ he concluded.]
    • Tomaszewski, Mateusz (28 May 2025). "Mentzen: Nie widzę żadnego powodu, by głosować na Rafała Trzaskowskiego [WIDEO]". Niezalezna.pl [pl] (in Polish). W pierwszej części Mentzen opisał punkt po punkcie rozmowy z Karolem Nawrockim i z Rafałem Trzaskowskim (PO). Przypomniał, że Nawrocki podpisał "deklarację toruńską", co "powinno całkowicie wyjaśnić sprawę głosowania" tym, którzy się z nią zgadzają. [...] "Podsumowując, nie widzę żadnego powodu, by głosować na Rafała Trzaskowskiego" – dodał Mentzen, stwierdzając, że jest on bardzo "śliski". [In the first part, Mentzen described point by point his conversations with Karol Nawrocki and Rafał Trzaskowski (PO). He recalled that Nawrocki had signed the ‘Toruń Declaration,’ which ‘should completely clarify the matter of voting’ for those who agree with it. [...] ‘In summary, I see no reason to vote for Rafał Trzaskowski,’ added Mentzen, stating that he is very ‘slimy.’]
    • "Trzaskowski czy Nawrocki? Mentzen ogłasza decyzję ws. drugiej tury". Polskie Radio 24 (in Polish). 28 May 2025. Sławomir Mentzen zabrał głos po rozmowie z kandydatami na prezydenta. – Nie widzę żadnego powodu, żeby głosować na Rafała Trzaskowskiego – powiedział lider Konfederacji w nagraniu na swoim kanale na platformie YouTube. [...] Mentzen, mówiąc o Nawrockim, zwrócił uwagę, że ten zgodził się z ośmioma punktami tzw. deklaracji toruńskiej. – Wybór powinien być oczywisty. Mamy kandydata, który podpisem zaświadczył, że będzie się do nich stosował – stwierdził. [Sławomir Mentzen spoke after talking to the presidential candidates. ‘I see no reason to vote for Rafał Trzaskowski,’ said the leader of the Confederation in a recording on his YouTube channel. [...] Mentzen, speaking about Nawrocki, pointed out that he agreed with eight points of the so-called Toruń Declaration. ‘The choice should be obvious. We have a candidate who has signed a declaration that he will abide by them,’ he said.]
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